Severe weather possible Tuesday - - Jackson, MS

Severe weather possible Tuesday

Wow! We've been pretty warm this weekend. Most of you saw afternoon temperatures in the 70s, but a few of you made it to 80. That's well above normal for this time of year. If you have lived in Mississippi long, you know that 80 degrees in November often means some severe weather is coming....and that appears to be the case later this week.

For tonight through Monday night, our weather will continue to be fairly quiet. We'll have lots of clouds, and some locally dense fog by early Monday. Temperatures will hold in the 60s overnight. Highs will reach the upper 70s to near 80 once again for Monday afternoon.

A frontal boundary remains stalled just to the northwest of Mississippi. If you have travel plans to areas like Dallas, Little Rock or Memphis on'll want to watch for storms in those areas. A few showers could drift into the Delta on Monday, but the meat of the rain will hold off until Tuesday.

The front will be on the move Tuesday into Tuesday night. Our warm, humid air mass will aid in storms to develop. Keep in mind we're still a couple of days away, but right now I am expecting a squall line to develop just ahead of the front on Tuesday. This squall line will move through the area during peak heating on Tuesday afternoon. Strong straight-line winds are likely with the squall line, but a few quick spin-up tornadoes are also possible. Though not for certain, a few storms may develop ahead of the squall line. If these storms do form, they will have a higher potential to produce tornadoes. The front will clear the area by mid-evening Tuesday and cooler, drier air will move in.

Timing of the front and storms may very well end up being a little slower than what I expect. Some model data suggests the storms may not move through the heart of the area until the middle evening hours. The image attached to this story is from our latest run of StormCast, which has the line of storms across the western parts of the area at 7pm. We'll get a better handle on timing with tomorrow's data.

We'll be fine tuning the forecast over the next couple of days. So be sure to watch tonight following Sunday night Football for the latest. Also, Meteorologist Paul Williams will be on starting at 5am will the latest model data.

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